Information last updated:

08.02.2012.

 

Definitions

Methodology

Data quality

Periodicity and release calendar

Dissemination

Contact person on methodology

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Definitions

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Consumer price index (CPI)

The consumer price index reflects changes in the prices of consumer goods and services in a specified period of time. The CPI measures changes of the average price level for goods and services that households consume (the fixed consumer basket). This indicator is used as a principal measure of inflation in Latvia.

The CPI base or comparison period is the year 2005, which is expressed by 100 index points (2005=100). Price changes during a month, year or any other period are calculated on the basis of price indices. Price indices with the base 2000=100 or December 1990=100 are used to calculate price changes over a longer period of time.

CPI is pure price index. It does not reflect the changes in buying or consumption patterns, brands, and does not reflect the effect of outlet and service provider substitution.

Consumer price changes over the corresponding period of the previous year (annual inflation), %

Consumer price changes over the corresponding period of the previous year (annual inflation) reflect price changes within 12 months. In December of each year indicator reflects price changes during a calendar year.

This indicator is used in the calculations of social benefits, in the indexation of wages and pensions, in reviewing the lease and rent payments, in accountancy, in accordance with the law ‘’On income tax of enterprises’’, to determine the compensation for material losses of natural and legal persons (wages and salaries not paid up, thefts, accidents, etc.). Although this indicator may be influenced by one-off price changes in the reference or comparison periods, it reflects the latest price changes more precisely.

Consumer price changes in last 12 months on average compared to the previous 12 months (average annual inflation), %

Consumer price changes on average per year (annual average inflation) shows the average price changes in the last 12 months compared to the previous 12 months.

This indicator is mostly used in the macroeconomic analysis investigating the inflationary processes in a longer period of time, as it is practically not influenced by short-term or transient price fluctuations.

Consumer price changes over the previous period (monthly inflation), %

Consumer price changes over the previous period (monthly inflation) reflect changes in the average price level during a month. This indicator may be substantially influenced by seasonal price fluctuations.

Impact, percentage points

The impact calculation is made to assess to what degree a specified product or product group has influenced the overall CPI, or, to assess the contribution of this product or product group to the overall CPI. The measurement unit of the impact calculation is percentage points.

Products or product groups with insignificant price changes but with a large share in the consumer basket can influence the overall CPI more than the products with a little share in the consumer basket but with large price changes.

Example of CPI application to indexation

The objective of indexation is to compensate the adverse effect of inflation on the value of money. For that most often total consumer price index is used. For compensation purposes also indices of individual consumption groups may be used, as well as producer price indices of selected sector or group of sectors.

In order to carry out indexation the initial value (the value to be indexed) should be known, as well as the period of time for which indexation will be carried out and the consumer price index of the respective period.

For example, on the 1st January of 2010 (the base period) the value is LVL 500. In order to determine what the new indexed value will be at the end of 2010, the CPI for the period from December 2009 to December 2010 must be used. Since the calculation period for the CPI is month, the CSB cannot provide data on any specified day or week.

The necessary price indices are obtained from the table “Consumer price indices for commodity groups (2005=100)”:

1) CPI in December 2009 (the base period) is 136.6

2) CPI in December 2010 (the reference period) is 140.0

On the basis of these data, the new value is calculated:

LVL 500x140.0/136.6=500x1.025=LVL 512.50

The new value is 2.5% higher than the initial (base period) value. The rise reflects inflation in year 2010.

 

Methodology

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Data source:

Sample survey of consumer prices.

Coverage

The CPI covers all resident population of the country including persons living in institutional households (social care institutions, children’s homes, prisons, etc.).

The consumer price survey is conducted in Riga and 11 other towns and cities. Using population weights survey data are generalized on all country: on both urban and rural territories.

Sample size

In 2012, the CPI “basket” contains 491 goods and services for which prices are regularly recorded. Approximately 2 thousand various trade outlets and market service establishments are surveyed. In total, more than 19 thousand prices are observed each month.

Average number of prices in consumption groups observed during a month: 

01 Food and non-alcoholic beverages 6 250

02 Alcoholic beverages and tobacco products 520

03 Clothing and footwear 1 900

04 Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels 950

05 Furnishings, household goods and cleaning 1 670

06 Health 1 070

07 Transport 1 500

08 Communications 550

09 Recreation and culture 2 160

10 Education 190

11 Hotels, cafes and restaurants 690

12 Miscellaneous goods and services 1 650

Number of goods and services in consumption groups:

01 Food and non-alcoholic beverages 117

02 Alcoholic beverages and tobacco products 12

03 Clothing and footwear 61

04 Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels 28

05 Furnishings, household goods and cleaning 49

06 Health 32

07 Transport 45

08 Communications 11

09 Recreation and culture 60

10 Education 9

11 Hotels, cafes and restaurants 17

12 Miscellaneous goods and services 50

Specifications of observed goods and services are kept unchanged during the whole year.

The CSB wishes to put on record its appreciation of the co-operation and assistance it receives from retail outlets and other business concerns.

Description of data

Prices of all goods and services, except fuel, are recorded every month from the 4th till 20th date. Fuel prices are recorded from 1st till 23rd date. Price discounts for qualitative goods offered to all consumers are also taken into account when recording the prices. The prices of goods enter into the CPI for the month in which they were observed, whereas the prices of services enter into the CPI for the month in which the consumption of the service at the observed prices can commence.

Price collection is performed by trained CSB employees – price collectors.

To ensure adequate representation in the overall CPI of more expensive goods and services that require a larger share of household expenditure, the weights are computed representing the proportion of expenditures for each individual commodity to the total household expenditure.

The weights are updated every year.

The weights used in CPI calculations in 2012 correspond to household consumption expenditure in the period from the 4th quarter of 2010 to the 3rd quarter of 2011 inclusive. The weights are price–updated to December 2011.

Household Budget Survey is one of the main information sources for the calculation of weights. National Accounts data, business statistics and information from organizations, shops and enterprises are used as an additional source for the calculation of weights.

The outlets, from which prices are collected, are chosen to represent the existing trade and services network and they are based usually on three main criteria: Popularity with consumers, significant turnover from consumer sales and availability of goods and services included in the CPI basket.  The sample of price recording places is regularly updated. If a shop is closed it is replaced by another shop of equal significance. The sample also includes open markets.

Methods of calculation

At first the average price of products and services collected in localities is calculated. It is calculated as simple arithmetic mean of the prices of goods and services surveyed. From all the average prices collected in localities, average price for the whole country for each product and service is calculated using population weights.

Afterwards price index of each good and service (lower level price index) is calculated. Price indices of lower aggregation levels are calculated as the ratios of arithmetic mean prices in the reference and base periods.

For the calculation of higher level (consumer group) price indices and the overall CPI a Laspeyres-type formula is used that expresses the weighted arithmetic mean value of the lower level price indices:

                                                     

Comparison (base) period of prices is December of pervious year. To calculate the price changes in longer time period price indices of each year are chained in one time series with the same comparison period. In CPI calculations comparison (base) period is average value of 2005 (2005=100). If linking month is December of each year, then price index in month m in year G is calculated:

 

Classification

All goods and services in the CPI basket are grouped according to the classification of individual (final) consumption by purpose (international designation COICOP). 

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Data adjustment

The published data are final and are not revised.

Additional information

Due to specifics of electronic data processing technologies and rounding adjustments, minor differences may occur between totals and sums of components.

 

Data quality

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The compliance of methods used for the CPI calculations to the international standards is inspected both by Eurostat experts, and by International Monetary Fund (IMF) specialists.

In September 2003 expert legation from IMF arrived to Latvia, and during their visit detailed evaluation of data quality of Consumer and Producer Price Indices Sections was carried out. During the inspection it was found that all the requirements were met. The bulky report on the quality of statistical data interested persons can find on the home page of IMF: http://www.imf.org/.

In July 2007 expert legation from Eurostat arrived to Latvia. Their task was to evaluate the compliance of methods used for the Latvia HICP calculations to the set methodology and EU guidelines comprehensively and in detail.

In accordance with the evaluation of Eurostat, the methods used for the Latvia HICP calculations meet the set requirements. During the inspection no discrepancy in the HICP methodology was found. The Latvian HICP data passes all standard HICP validation tests – it is internally consistent and aggregates correctly. Latvia HICP is comparable with HICP of other European Union countries.

HICP is indicator established to compare the average consumer price level among the EU countries. HICP basically is calculated by the same method as national consumer price index (CPI). Compared to CPI, what is the general measurement of inflation in our country, the HICP has slightly different definition of population coverage, because the expenditure structure of HICP includes also the foreign tourist expenditure in our country. According to that, the observation and conclusions of the Eurostat experts regarding the HICP correspondence to the methodology can be fully related also to the CPI.

It is possible to find complete report in the Eurostat website on the Internet.

 

Periodicity and release calendar

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Annual data

Annual data are available at the 3 or 4-digit level of the COICOP Classification.

Quarterly data

Are not published.

Monthly data

The CPI is published monthly. Data are available at the 3 or 4-digit level of the COICOP Classification.

Data are released on the 6th working day following the end of the reference month.

 

Dissemination

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On the Internet

In the database

Key indicators

 

 

 

Annual data

 

Monthly data

Press releases

A press release on consumer price changes is published monthly.

Press releases.

Publications

A bulletin “Consumer Prices” is published quarterly in Latvian and English (on four pages).

You can purchase publications in the Information Centre or subscribe and receive them by mail and/or e-mail after registration on the Web Page of the CSB. To see the Catalogue of Statistical Publications and prices, as well as to purchase the publications see section Subscribe to publications.

Inflation calculator

With the help of inflation calculator you can calculate the price changes within the necessary time period. Clicking on the link Inflation calculator new window will open where you can chose the type of index, as well as indicate period on which the calculation is necessary. In case when the window does not open, check if Internet browser does not block pop-up windows.

 

Tailor made data sets

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If you cannot find the necessary information on the Internet or in the publications, the CSB will prepare tailor made data set according to your request using the databases at its disposal.

More information on how to prepare a request for tailor made information.

Pricelist of chargeable services.

 

Contact person on methodology

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Consumer price indices

Oskars Alksnis, Head of the Consumer Price Indices Section, tel. (+371) 67366865, oskars.alksnis@csb.gov.lv

 

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Eurostat

The Statistical Office of the European Communities (Eurostat) compiles and publishes on its homepage the Harmonised Consumer Price Indices for EU-27 and separately for each country. Both the calculated price indices, price changes and the methodological description can be found in the section: Statistics / Economy and finance / Harmonized Indices of Consumer Prices (HICP):

http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/

International Monetary Fund

The IMF homepage provides a description of CPI methodology in the SDDS format:

http://dsbb.imf.org/